Perspectives in the Year - 2006
The December 15 Connections event was on The Year in Perspective, The Good, The Bad, The Huhs? and our panelists and facilitator were:
- Ysabel Duron, "KRON 4 Weekend Morning News"
- Martin Kan, Silicon Valley Bank
- Jay Phillips, Senior VP, Cornish & Carey
- Keith Virnoche, Virnoche-Frigon Group at Merrill Lynch
Below are notes from the session.
Thoughts about Silicon Valley
- It's been a tough year for the low income. The middle income is also feeling the pinched, the upper income are becoming more strategic about how they spend their money.
- The economy is slowing down for some
- Our political leaders received a strong message encouraging change, as their perspectives are straying from that of their constituency.
- There's an undercurrent of unease. It's difficult to trust our leaders.
- On a positive note, values-driven business leaders are making strides to change our views on leaders, particularly in Silicon Valley where hope springs eternal. These business leaders striving to make money, have fun, and do good.
Thoughts about Real Estate Trends
- Due to increased corporate earnings, venture financings, and other factors, the real estate market is very strong, at all-time high prcies in some cases. We haven't seen such numbers since 1999-2000.
- Sales activity extremely strong, residential conversion subsides. Total vacancy rates continue to fall
- The rapid commercial expansion of companies like Google (and indirect residential expansion for employees) are directly affecting housing prices much more quickly and with much greater impact than anticipated
- Green energy companies are starting to impact the real estate market
- M&A activities are more strongly impacting the real estate market than anticipated
Thoughts about Venture Financing Trends (statistics from PriceWaterhouseCoopers Q3 2006 Shaking the MoneyTree Report)
- Steady Pace in Number of Deals: 2004: 3,024; 2005: 3,092; 2006: 2,533 (thru Q3)
- Increase in Total Dollars Invested: 2004: $22.1 billion; 2005: $22.7 billion; 2006: $19.2 billion
- Silicon Valley Continues to be the Leading Region for US Investments: 250 Deal in Q3 2006; 87 Deal in Q3 2006 for the New England Region.
- Software and Biotechnology Continue to Attract Strong Investor Interest
- Software - Number of Deals and Total Dollars in Q3: 2005: 205 $1.14 billion; 2006: 186 $1.10 billion
- Biotechnology - Number of Deals and Total Dollars in Q3: 2005: 101 $1.03 billion; 2006: 95 $1.14 billion
More thoughts on venture financing:
- VCs are raising their expectations/standards/requirements for funding
- Natives from India (software companies) and China (hardware companies) are returning to their countries
- Migration of European companies from UK, France, Finland establishing headquarters in Silicon Valley
- China is interested in moving from hardware manufacturing into design and India is looking at moving from software test to design
Thoughts about Investment Trends
- The economy is stronger than many people think - double-digit earnings growth ends after 15 quarters in a row
- Investments in 500 S&P may be a good opportunity now
What can we as leaders do?
- Foster innovation in your companies and partners as innovation offers countries and companies a competitive advantage
- Build a collective social conscience while meeting and exceeding business/revenue objectives
- Get involved - in your company, in your family, in your community!
- Support our local educational system
